Welcome to the Monday college basketball slate. March Madness is right around the corner and the bubble is starting to take shape. It was a wild college basketball weekend and we haven’t even reached March yet. Be sure to check out my bracketology article which I’ll continue updating as the tournament gets closer. There are some solid matchups today but remember not to force any bets you don’t love, there is still plenty of season left.
Here are my best bets for Monday.
Past Week: 11-13
This Season: 99-110-8
Also, take a look at our other best bets for Monday:
Best College Basketball Bets for Monday
Baylor at Oklahoma State
When comparing these two teams – Baylor is simply better. They have the second-best adjusted offense, they are 11-3 in their last 14 games with one of the best backcourts in the country. Oklahoma State is a bubble team that has lost each of its last four games and is trending down.
But it’s not that easy. Baylor is not the same team on the road as they are at home. Three of their last four road games have resulted in losses with two of them coming by double-digits, ranking 359th in the nation away from home. Oklahoma State on the other hand ranks 35th in playing at home and is a much more consistent program.
When I see those numbers, it’s hard to fade home-court advantage. The Pokes are due for some positive regression and their 13th-ranked KenPom defense is up for the challenge. They excel offensively down low as well and can run in transition with Baylor. Don’t be surprised to see an upset tonight in Stillwater.
Play: Baylor +1.5 (DraftKings)
West Virginia at Iowa State
Iowa State is another team trending down, losing three straight and seven of their last nine. Don’t be fooled though, they are a completely different beast at home. Those two wins came at home against Kansas and TCU, both by double-digits.
When these two teams faced off against each other earlier this month, Iowa State kept it close. Now that they are playing in Ames, I expect the Cyclone’s second-rated defensive turnover percentage to play a bigger role in this game with the crowd on their side.
West Virginia’s offense may rank in the top 25, but a lot of that comes from second-chance looks which Iowa State is solid at limiting, and packing the lane. The Mountaineers will get plenty of looks from deep, but their sub-100-ranked three-point shooting doesn’t scare me as much as home-court advantage does.
Play: Iowa State -3.5 (BetMGM)
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Be sure to follow me @rcoleman98 on the BettingPros app, as I post all my selections there that may not make it in these articles. Remember to monitor injury news because if you can beat the curve, there is plenty of value to be had on any given game day.